Twitterで映画の興行成績を予測:的中度97.3%の正確さという驚きのデータ - Capote’s Connected Communications - 続・広報の視点
調査対象は、
120万ユーザーの映画に関する290万ツイートを3ヶ月以上かけて24の映画
とのこと。公開日近辺でのツイートと、公開される映画館という2つの変動要因を解析したところ、驚いたことに週末の公開成績を97.3%の正確さで予測した。一方、これまで最も基準とされてきたHollywood Stock Exchangeの、週末公開予測は96.5%の正確さである。
第二週の成績予測をするために、ポジティブなツイートとネガティブなツイートの割合を加えて算出したところ、94%の正確さで予測できた。
ヲタのツイートは偏りまくってるのでアニメ映画では全く的中しない、とかだったら面白いな
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ヲタのツイートは偏りまくってるのでアニメ映画では全く的中しない、とかだったら面白いな
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ネガポジ判定
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